{"id":10690,"date":"2012-01-24T21:43:00","date_gmt":"2012-01-25T01:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/?p=10690"},"modified":"2026-10-01T03:34:26","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:34:26","slug":"nia-urgent-bvsn-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/articles\/nia-urgent-bvsn-update\/","title":{"rendered":"NIA Urgent BVSN Update"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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NIA’s latest stock suggestion BroadVision Inc. (BVSN)<\/strong> finished today up $0.74<\/strong><\/span> to $33.99<\/strong> but at one point this afternoon BVSN<\/strong> rallied as high as $44.75 per share<\/strong>! Yes, at one point today BVSN<\/strong> was up as much as 32%<\/strong><\/span> to $44.75 per share<\/strong>!<\/p>\n\n

Many people have been wondering when BVSN<\/strong> would finally make a major dip. Well, BVSN<\/strong> made that dip today after hitting $44.75 per share<\/strong>. BVSN<\/strong> dipped from a high of $44.75<\/strong> down to a low of $32.06<\/strong>, before finishing the day up $0.74<\/strong><\/span> to $33.99<\/strong>. BVSN<\/strong> traded an incredible 3,237,254 shares<\/strong> today.<\/p>\n\n

NIA still hasn’t sold a single BVSN<\/strong> share. BVSN<\/strong> is still a 100% perfect buy<\/strong><\/span> in all 13 short, medium, and long-term categories<\/strong> and the next resistance level is now $49.62<\/strong>: http:\/\/barchart.com\/opinions\/stocks\/BVSN<\/a><\/p>\n\n

In our opinion, when BVSN<\/strong> breaks $49.62<\/strong> it is possible it will soar well above $50<\/strong><\/span> with the Facebook IPO<\/strong> coming this May!<\/p>\n\n

As you know, there is another company in this industry called Saba Software (SABA)<\/strong> that has developed an enterprise social networking platform<\/strong>. SABA’s social platform<\/strong> is a low-tier platform that we believe is inferior to BVSN’s top-tier platform<\/strong>. However, it is unbelievable the valuation SABA<\/strong> is now trading at because of the huge social networking boom ahead.<\/p>\n\n

Check out the average monthly closing price for SABA<\/strong> for the 8 years prior to completing Saba Social:<\/p>\n\n

\n2010:<\/strong> $5.33
\n2009:<\/strong> $3.24
\n2008:<\/strong> $3.07
\n2007:<\/strong> $5.71
\n2006:<\/strong> $5.71
\n2005:<\/strong> $4.44
\n2004:<\/strong> $3.89
\n2003:<\/strong> $3.87\n<\/p>\n\n

SABA<\/strong> was in a narrow trading range of $3.07 to $5.77<\/strong> for 8 years because they have been generating almost all of their revenues since inception from their e-learning software<\/strong>. Still today in 2012, SABA’s e-learning software<\/strong> generates nearly all of their revenues and SABA<\/strong> only had very tiny revenue growth of 4%<\/strong> last quarter.<\/p>\n\n

However, SABA<\/strong> has soared in recent months to its current price of $9.84<\/strong>. SABA’s average monthly closing price<\/strong> from 2003 through 2010 was $4.41<\/strong> and today SABA<\/strong> is $9.84<\/strong>. SABA<\/strong> has 29.78 million shares outstanding<\/strong>. That is an increase in market cap for SABA<\/strong> of $161.71 million<\/strong><\/span> and we believe it is entirely due to Saba Social<\/strong>!<\/p>\n\n

If we value BVSN’s Clearvale<\/strong> at $161.71 million<\/strong> in addition to BVSN’s $56.79 million in cash<\/strong> and we value BVSN’s old products at $15 million<\/strong>, BVSN<\/strong> would deserve a market cap of $233.5 million<\/strong> and a price of $51.72 per share<\/strong><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n

However, in our minds BVSN’s Clearvale<\/strong> is a top-tier solution in this industry just like Jive Software (JIVE)’s social networking platform for businesses<\/strong>. JIVE<\/strong> has a market cap right now of $879.49 million<\/strong> and if you subtract JIVE’s net cash position<\/strong> including the money they raised in their IPO, JIVE<\/strong> has an enterprise value for their social networking platform of $678.5 million<\/strong>. If Clearvale<\/strong> was worth $678.5 million<\/strong> in addition to BVSN’s $56.79 million in cash<\/strong> and we value BVSN’s old products at $15 million<\/strong>, BVSN<\/strong> would deserve a market cap of $750.29 million<\/strong> and a price of $166.18 per share<\/strong><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n

Although we believe Clearvale<\/strong> is worth a lot more than Saba Social<\/strong>, we don’t believe it deserves to be valued as high as JIVE’s social platform<\/strong> at this time because JIVE<\/strong> has more customers and BVSN<\/strong> just started aggressively marketing Clearvale<\/strong>. Yes, BVSN<\/strong> does have a customer worth $30 billion<\/strong>, Softbank in Japan<\/strong>, a company that likes Clearvale<\/strong> so much that they are now reselling it to their own customers. Still, we believe BVSN<\/strong> will need more time to prove themselves to the investment community before Clearvale<\/strong> is worth what JIVE’s platform<\/strong> is worth.<\/p>\n\n

If we valued BVSN’s Clearvale<\/strong> in between Saba Social’s estimated value of $161.71 million<\/strong> and JIVE’s estimated social platform value of $678.5 million<\/strong>, the median value of the two is $420.11 million<\/strong>. If Clearvale<\/strong> was worth $420.11 million<\/strong> in addition to BVSN’s $56.79 million in cash<\/strong> and we value BVSN’s old products at $15 million<\/strong>, BVSN<\/strong> would deserve a market cap of $491.9 million<\/strong> and a price of $108.95 per share<\/strong><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n

NIA never makes any target prices. In no way is NIA making any kind of price predictions for BVSN. We are only speculating by estimating the values of two other similar platforms and telling you what BVSN could be worth if Clearvale was worth certain values. Do not make investment decisions based on anything we say.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n

NIA is still working on its report comparing BVSN’s Clearvale Express<\/strong> to both Yammer<\/strong> and Chatter<\/strong> and we will be releasing it later tonight!<\/p>\n\n

Disclaimer:<\/strong> NIA owns 188,700 shares of BVSN that it purchased at an average price of $11.77 per share. NIA agreed to a 60 day holding period on its initial position of 122,000 shares starting from the date that NIA first suggested the company, but NIA intends to sell these 122,000 shares at some point in the future after the date of February 12th, 2012. NIA intends to sell its additional 66,700 shares of BVSN in the future and can sell them at any time. NIA’s co-founders have also been referred business in the past from somebody who has filed as a large BVSN shareholder. NIA also reserves the right to accumulate additional shares of BVSN at any time. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. NIA is not an investment advisor. This email is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Never make investment decisions based on anything NIA says. This email is meant for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NIA’s latest stock suggestion BroadVision Inc. (BVSN) finished today up $0.74 to $33.99 but at one point this afternoon BVSN rallied as high as $44.75 per share! Yes, at one point today BVSN was up as much as 32% to $44.75 per share! Many people have been wondering when BVSN would finally make a major […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10691,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[338,339,407,8],"class_list":["post-10690","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-bvsn","tag-jive","tag-saba","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10690","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10690"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10690\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10692,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10690\/revisions\/10692"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10691"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}