{"id":1693,"date":"2025-06-21T09:55:46","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T13:55:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/?p=1693"},"modified":"2025-06-21T09:55:47","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T13:55:47","slug":"recent-gold-ma-activity-has-benefited-buyers-not-sellers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/articles\/recent-gold-ma-activity-has-benefited-buyers-not-sellers\/","title":{"rendered":"Recent Gold M&amp;A Activity Has Benefited Buyers Not Sellers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\">Recent <strong>M&amp;A activity<\/strong> in the <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\"><strong>gold <\/strong><\/span><strong>mining<\/strong> <strong>industry<\/strong> has generally been to the <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>benefit<\/strong><\/span> of the <strong>buyers<\/strong>, <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>not<\/strong><\/span> the <strong>sellers<\/strong>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\">Probably the <strong><span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">worst<\/span> deal<\/strong> we have seen was done in <strong>March 2025<\/strong> when <strong>O3 Mining<\/strong> was <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>acquired<\/strong><\/span> by <strong>Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)<\/strong> for <strong>CAD$204 million<\/strong>. <strong>O3 Mining<\/strong> had <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\"><strong>total gold resources<\/strong><\/span> of <strong>1.7 million oz<\/strong> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>directly adjacent<\/strong><\/span> to <strong>AEM&#39;s Canadian Malartic Mine<\/strong>. <strong>O3&#39;s&nbsp;Marban Alliance project<\/strong> was worth <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>much more<\/strong><\/span> than <strong>CAD$204 million<\/strong>. Why did <strong>O3 <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">accept<\/span><\/strong> such a <strong><span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">bad<\/span> deal<\/strong>? It was because of <strong>&quot;change of control&quot; provisions<\/strong>. <strong>O3&#39;s CEO <\/strong>had<strong>&nbsp;<span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">little<\/span>\/<span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">no<\/span> stake<\/strong> in the company, but with a <strong>&quot;change of control&quot;<\/strong>, he suddenly <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>received<\/strong><\/span> a <strong>windfall<\/strong> of <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>millions of dollars<\/strong><\/span> in cash, stock, and bonuses.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\">Imagine if <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)<\/strong> with <strong>1.92 million oz<\/strong> of <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\"><strong>total gold resources<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>accepted<\/strong><\/span> only <strong>CAD$230.4 million<\/strong> or <strong>$2.68 per share<\/strong> for the company&#8230; how <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>horrible<\/strong><\/span> that would be for shareholders. To <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">maximize<\/span><\/strong> the value of the company, they need to <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>develop<\/strong><\/span> their <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">fully permitted<\/span> Reward project<\/strong> (<strong>O3 <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">didn&#39;t<\/span><\/strong> <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">own<\/span><\/strong> any <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">fully permitted<\/span> <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\">gold projects<\/span><\/strong>), and bring it into <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>production<\/strong><\/span>, which will cause <strong>Reward<\/strong> to be valued for the full Net Present Value of <strong>US$308.07 million<\/strong> or <strong>$4.42 per share<\/strong> (including debt repayment). This <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>doesn&#39;t<\/strong><\/span> include any value for <strong>Bullfrog<\/strong>, which has <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>3.5x more <\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\"><strong>gold<\/strong><\/span> only a few kilometers away.&nbsp;Including <strong>Bullfrog<\/strong>, <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)<\/strong> can easily reach <strong>$10-$15 per share<\/strong> in the very near future.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\"><strong>Richard Warke<\/strong> <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">owns a large<\/span> percentage<\/strong> of <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)<\/strong> shares outstanding and <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>doesn&#39;t<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>care<\/strong><\/span> about <strong>&quot;change of control&quot;<\/strong> provisions. He will only <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>profit big<\/strong><\/span> by selling the company for the <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">highest possible<\/span> price<\/strong>. His <strong>interests<\/strong> are <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>aligned<\/strong><\/span> with <strong>shareholders<\/strong>, <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>unlike<\/strong><\/span> the <strong>management<\/strong> of <strong>O3 Mining<\/strong> who <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>screwed<\/strong><\/span> everyone over.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\">The <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">best<\/span> M&amp;A deal<\/strong> we have seen this year was <strong>Orogen Royalties (TSXV: OGN)<\/strong> being <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>acquired<\/strong><\/span> by <strong>Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM)<\/strong>, where <strong>TFPM<\/strong> is paying <strong>US$250 million<\/strong> for only a <strong>1% NSR royalty<\/strong> in <strong>AngloGold Ashanti (AU)&#39;s Arthur Gold Project<\/strong> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>directly adjacent<\/strong><\/span> to <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)&#39;s Reward and Bullfrog <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\">gold projects<\/span><\/strong>.&nbsp;<strong>TFPM <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">didn&#39;t<\/span><\/strong> want any of <strong>OGN&#39;s non-Beatty, Nevada, assets<\/strong>&nbsp;they are all being <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>spun off<\/strong><\/span> to <strong>OGN&#39;s existing shareholders<\/strong> as a <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">new publicly traded<\/span> company<\/strong>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\"><strong>TFPM <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">paying<\/span> US$250 million<\/strong> for only a <strong>1% NSR royalty<\/strong> in <strong>Arthur<\/strong> (formerly called <strong>Expanded Silicon<\/strong>) is a <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>record-breaking<\/strong><\/span> amount. Therefore, we can expect any <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">future<\/span> deal<\/strong> to <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>acquire<\/strong><\/span> <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)<\/strong> to take place at a <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">near record high<\/span> valuation<\/strong> of <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">at least<\/span> US$500 per oz <\/strong>of<strong> <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\">gold resources<\/span><\/strong> or <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>higher<\/strong><\/span>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\">This is the <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>biggest<\/strong><\/span> and <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">most important<\/span> <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">new<\/span> <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\">gold district<\/span><\/strong> to be <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>developed<\/strong><\/span> this decade and <strong>Augusta Gold (TSX: G)&#39;s Reward <span style=\"color:#f1c40f;\">Gold Mine<\/span><\/strong> will be <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>first<\/strong><\/span> to reach <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>production<\/strong><\/span> in the district&#8230; with <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>construction<\/strong><\/span> to <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>begin<\/strong><\/span> as soon as <strong>Augusta&#39;s financing deal<\/strong> with the <strong>Trump Administration<\/strong> is <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>complete<\/strong><\/span>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size:14px;\"><span style=\"font-family:Tahoma,Geneva,sans-serif;\"><em>Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. NIA is not an investment advisor and does not provide investment advice. Always do your own research and make your own investment decisions. NIA&rsquo;s President has purchased 232,200 shares of G and may purchase more shares. This message is meant for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide investment advice.<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recent M&amp;A activity in the gold mining industry has generally been to the benefit of the buyers, not the sellers. Probably the worst deal we have seen was done in March 2025 when O3 Mining was acquired by Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) for CAD$204 million. O3 Mining had total gold resources of 1.7 million oz [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1694,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[55,42,12,9,40],"class_list":["post-1693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-aem","tag-au","tag-g","tag-gold","tag-ogn"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1693","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1693"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1693\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1695,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1693\/revisions\/1695"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1693"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1693"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1693"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}