{"id":7375,"date":"2026-03-18T23:15:59","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T03:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/?p=7375"},"modified":"2026-03-18T23:31:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T03:31:56","slug":"panic-selling-incoming-why-this-tsxv-pullback-changes-nothing-mirroring-the-2002-2007-bull-market-almost-exactly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/articles\/panic-selling-incoming-why-this-tsxv-pullback-changes-nothing-mirroring-the-2002-2007-bull-market-almost-exactly\/","title":{"rendered":"Panic Selling Incoming? Why This TSXV Pullback Changes Nothing (Mirroring the 2002\u20132007 Bull Market Almost Exactly)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style>\n  .nia-article {\n    font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen, sans-serif;\n    max-width: 860px;\n    margin: 2rem auto;\n    padding: 0 1rem;\n    color: #1a1a2e;\n    line-height: 1.75;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__header {\n    border-left: 5px solid #2980b9;\n    padding: 1rem 1.25rem;\n    background: linear-gradient(135deg, #f0f6ff 0%, #fafcff 100%);\n    border-radius: 0 8px 8px 0;\n    margin-bottom: 1.75rem;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__header p {\n    margin: 0;\n    font-size: 1.05rem;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__image-wrap {\n    width: 100%;\n    margin: 1.75rem 0;\n    border-radius: 10px;\n    overflow: hidden;\n    box-shadow: 0 4px 18px rgba(0,0,0,0.12);\n    background: #eef3f8;\n    text-align: center;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__image-wrap img {\n    width: 100%;\n    height: auto;\n    display: block;\n    max-width: 100%;\n    object-fit: contain;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__image-caption {\n    font-size: 0.8rem;\n    color: #666;\n    padding: 0.5rem 1rem;\n    background: #f5f8fb;\n    border-top: 1px solid #dde6ef;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__body {\n    display: flex;\n    flex-direction: column;\n    gap: 1.25rem;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card {\n    background: #fff;\n    border: 1px solid #e2eaf3;\n    border-radius: 10px;\n    padding: 1.1rem 1.4rem;\n    box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(41,128,185,0.06);\n    font-size: 0.97rem;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card--highlight {\n    border-left: 4px solid #27ae60;\n    background: linear-gradient(135deg, #f0fff5 0%, #fafffe 100%);\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card--warning {\n    border-left: 4px solid #e74c3c;\n    background: linear-gradient(135deg, #fff5f5 0%, #fffafa 100%);\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card--info {\n    border-left: 4px solid #2980b9;\n    background: linear-gradient(135deg, #f0f6ff 0%, #fafcff 100%);\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card--neutral {\n    border-left: 4px solid #95a5a6;\n    background: #fafbfc;\n  }\n\n  .nia-article__card p {\n    margin: 0;\n  }\n\n  .nia-stat-row {\n    display: flex;\n    flex-wrap: wrap;\n    gap: 1rem;\n    margin: 1.5rem 0;\n  }\n\n  .nia-stat {\n    flex: 1 1 180px;\n    background: #fff;\n    border: 1px solid #dde6ef;\n    border-radius: 10px;\n    padding: 1rem 1.25rem;\n    text-align: center;\n    box-shadow: 0 2px 6px rgba(0,0,0,0.06);\n  }\n\n  .nia-stat__label {\n    font-size: 0.75rem;\n    text-transform: uppercase;\n    letter-spacing: 0.06em;\n    color: #7f8c8d;\n    margin-bottom: 0.4rem;\n  }\n\n  .nia-stat__value {\n    font-size: 1.45rem;\n    font-weight: 700;\n    line-height: 1.2;\n  }\n\n  .nia-stat__sub {\n    font-size: 0.78rem;\n    color: #95a5a6;\n    margin-top: 0.3rem;\n  }\n\n  .color-blue   { color: #2980b9; }\n  .color-green  { color: #27ae60; }\n  .color-red    { color: #e74c3c; }\n  .color-gold   { color: #d4a017; }\n  .color-silver { color: #4e5f70; }\n\n  @media (max-width: 600px) {\n    .nia-article__card {\n      padding: 0.9rem 1rem;\n    }\n    .nia-stat__value {\n      font-size: 1.2rem;\n    }\n    .nia-article__header {\n      padding: 0.85rem 1rem;\n    }\n  }\n<\/style>\n\n<article class=\"nia-article\">\n\n  <!-- Intro Header -->\n  <div class=\"nia-article__header\">\n    <p>\n      We created a chart comparing the <strong><span class=\"color-blue\">cumulative<\/span> percentage gain<\/strong>\n      of the <strong>TSX Venture Composite Index<\/strong> during the\n      <strong>2002\u20132007 <span class=\"color-green\">bull market<\/span><\/strong> with the\n      <strong><span class=\"color-blue\">current cycle<\/span><\/strong> beginning from the\n      <strong>November 2023 <span class=\"color-red\">low<\/span><\/strong> through today.\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- Chart Image -->\n  <div class=\"nia-article__image-wrap\">\n    <img\n      src=\"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/tsxvcompchartcomparison.jpg\"\n      alt=\"TSX Venture Composite Index \u2013 Cumulative % Gain Comparison: 2002\u20132007 Bull Market vs Current Cycle\"\n      loading=\"lazy\"\n      decoding=\"async\"\n    \/>\n    <div class=\"nia-article__image-caption\">\n      TSX Venture Composite Index \u2014 Cumulative % Gain: 2002\u20132007 Bull Market vs. Current Cycle (Nov 2023 Low to Present)\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- Key Stats Row -->\n  <div class=\"nia-stat-row\">\n    <div class=\"nia-stat\">\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__label\">Current Cycle Initial Peak Gain<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__value color-green\">+127.80%<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__sub\">over 553 days<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"nia-stat\">\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__label\">Prior Bull Market Initial Peak Gain<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__value color-green\">+129.66%<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__sub\">over 605 days<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"nia-stat\">\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__label\">Index Level Today<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__value color-red\">976.02<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__sub\">\u22123.47% today<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"nia-stat\">\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__label\">Potential Support Level<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__value color-blue\">~910<\/div>\n      <div class=\"nia-stat__sub\">prior cycle: ~79.63% gain<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- Body Cards -->\n  <div class=\"nia-article__body\">\n\n    <div class=\"nia-article__card nia-article__card--info\">\n      <p>\n        The <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>key difference<\/strong><\/span> is in\n        <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>sentiment<\/strong><\/span> and early momentum. This\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>bull market<\/strong><\/span> was widely\n        <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>doubted<\/strong><\/span> in its early stages, advancing\n        <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>slowly<\/strong><\/span> on <strong><span class=\"color-red\">low<\/span> volume<\/strong>\n        before more recently <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>accelerating<\/strong><\/span> and\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>playing catch-up<\/strong><\/span>.\n      <\/p>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"nia-article__card nia-article__card--highlight\">\n      <p>\n        One <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>major similarity<\/strong><\/span> is that both cycles reached an\n        <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>initial short-term<\/strong><\/span>\n        <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>peak<\/strong><\/span> at nearly identical levels. The current\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>bull market<\/strong><\/span> peaked after a\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>127.80% gain<\/strong><\/span> over <strong>553 days<\/strong>,\n        compared to a <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>129.66% gain<\/strong><\/span> over\n        <strong>605 days<\/strong> in the <strong>previous <span class=\"color-green\">bull market<\/span><\/strong>.\n      <\/p>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"nia-article__card nia-article__card--warning\">\n      <p>\n        The <strong>TSX Venture Composite Index <span class=\"color-red\">declined by 3.47%<\/span><\/strong>\n        today to <strong>976.02<\/strong>, bringing it almost\n        <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>exactly<\/strong><\/span> back to where it stood on\n        <strong>October 23rd<\/strong>, when NIA predicted a <strong>six-month<\/strong> period of\n        <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>sideways consolidation<\/strong><\/span> at approximately\n        <strong>964<\/strong>.\n      <\/p>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"nia-article__card nia-article__card--neutral\">\n      <p>\n        Looking ahead, we expect potential <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>short-term volatility<\/strong><\/span>\n        driven by <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>profit-taking<\/strong><\/span>. Many investors who\n        <strong><span class=\"color-green\">bought<\/span>\n        <span class=\"color-gold\">gold<\/span>\/<span class=\"color-silver\">silver<\/span> stocks<\/strong>\n        near the <strong>November 2023 <span class=\"color-red\">lows<\/span><\/strong> may feel pressure to\n        <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>lock in<\/strong><\/span>\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>profits<\/strong><\/span>, fearing a deeper pullback. However,\n        a return to those prior <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>lows<\/strong><\/span> remains\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>highly unlikely<\/strong><\/span>.\n      <\/p>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"nia-article__card nia-article__card--highlight\">\n      <p>\n        Importantly, there are already <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>many high-quality bargains<\/strong><\/span>\n        emerging at attractive valuations. Based on the <strong>prior <span class=\"color-green\">bull market<\/span><\/strong>,\n        where a bottom occurred near the <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>~79.63% cumulative gain<\/strong><\/span>\n        level, it is possible the <strong>TSX Venture Composite Index<\/strong> could\n        <span class=\"color-red\"><strong>temporarily decline<\/strong><\/span> toward <strong>~910<\/strong>\n        before <span class=\"color-blue\"><strong>resuming<\/strong><\/span> its\n        <span class=\"color-green\"><strong>broader upward rally<\/strong><\/span>.\n      <\/p>\n    <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We created a chart comparing the cumulative percentage gain of the TSX Venture Composite Index during the 2002\u20132007 bull market with the current cycle beginning from the November 2023 low through today. TSX Venture Composite Index \u2014 Cumulative % Gain: 2002\u20132007 Bull Market vs. Current Cycle (Nov 2023 Low to Present) Current Cycle Initial Peak [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7378,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[143,48,9,25,49,124,125,20,19,260,17,102,24],"class_list":["post-7375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-antimony","tag-copper","tag-gold","tag-graphite","tag-lead","tag-lithium","tag-nickel","tag-palladium","tag-platinum","tag-scandium","tag-silver","tag-uranium","tag-zinc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7375"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7375\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7384,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7375\/revisions\/7384"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}