{"id":8540,"date":"2024-12-24T12:11:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-24T16:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/?p=8540"},"modified":"2026-05-23T23:13:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T03:13:04","slug":"bbai-vs-oss-fair-value","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/articles\/bbai-vs-oss-fair-value\/","title":{"rendered":"BBAI Hits $3.67 Same Multiple Values OSS at $19.81 Per Share"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div style=\"font-family:Tahoma, Geneva, sans-serif; font-size:14px; line-height:1.6; color:#222; max-width:740px; margin:0 auto;\">\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>BigBear.ai (BBAI)<\/strong> just hit <strong>$3.67 per share<\/strong> with <strong>250.59 million shares outstanding<\/strong> for a <strong>market cap<\/strong> of <strong>$919.67 million<\/strong> and has <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>net debt of $130.16 million<\/strong><\/span> for an <strong>enterprise value<\/strong> of <strong>$1.05 billion<\/strong> or <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">6.78X<\/span> revenue<\/strong> of <strong>$154.97 million<\/strong>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>One Stop Systems (OSS)<\/strong> estimates <strong>4Q 2024 revenue<\/strong> of <strong>$15 million<\/strong> and projects <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">consistent sustainable<\/span> revenue <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">growth<\/span><\/strong> moving forward. If we simply <strong><span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">annualize<\/span> $15 million<\/strong> to <strong>$60 million<\/strong> and <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>apply<\/strong><\/span> a <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>multiple<\/strong><\/span> of <strong>6.78<\/strong>, it gives <strong>OSS<\/strong> an <strong>enterprise value<\/strong> of <strong>$406.8 million<\/strong>. <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">Adding $11.47 million in net cash<\/span><\/strong> equals a <strong>market cap<\/strong> of <strong>$418.27 million<\/strong>. <strong>OSS<\/strong> has <strong>21.11 million shares outstanding<\/strong>, which gives <strong>OSS<\/strong> a fair value of <strong>$19.81 per share<\/strong>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\nIn reality, <strong>OSS<\/strong> should trade at <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">much higher<\/span> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">multiples<\/span><\/strong> than <strong>BBAI<\/strong>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\nThe <strong>OSS <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">rugged<\/span> AI server business<\/strong> in the U.S. for <strong>military<\/strong>, <strong>defense<\/strong>, and <strong>space<\/strong> applications saw <strong>3Q 2024 gross margins<\/strong> of <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>34.6%<\/strong><\/span> vs. <strong>BBAI 3Q 2024 gross margins<\/strong> of <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>25.9%<\/strong><\/span>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>OSS<\/strong> is <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>cash flow positive<\/strong><\/span> vs. <strong>BBAI <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">burning through<\/span><\/strong> a lot of <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>cash<\/strong><\/span>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>OSS management <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">consistently<\/span> <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">keeps<\/span> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">promises<\/span><\/strong> and <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">surpasses<\/span> estimates<\/strong> vs. <strong>BBAI management<\/strong> <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\"><strong>consistently<\/strong><\/span> <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>lying<\/strong><\/span> and <strong><span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">missing<\/span> estimates<\/strong> while <strong>insiders <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\">dump<\/span> shares<\/strong>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>OSS<\/strong> expects to become <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>profitable<\/strong><\/span> in 2025 vs. <strong>BBAI<\/strong> <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>unlikely<\/strong><\/span> to ever become <span style=\"color:#27ae60;\"><strong>profitable<\/strong><\/span>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 14px;\">\n<strong>OSS<\/strong> is <strong><span style=\"color:#27ae60;\">ramping up<\/span> revenue <span style=\"color:#2980b9;\">organically<\/span><\/strong> with <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>no dilution<\/strong><\/span> vs. <strong>BBAI<\/strong> having <span style=\"color:#e74c3c;\"><strong>severe dilution<\/strong><\/span>.\n<\/p>\n\n<p style=\"margin:0;\">\n<em>Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. NIA is not an investment advisor and does not provide investment advice. Always do your own research and make your own investment decisions. This message is meant for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide investment advice.<\/em>\n<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BigBear.ai (BBAI) just hit $3.67 per share with 250.59 million shares outstanding for a market cap of $919.67 million and has net debt of $130.16 million for an enterprise value of $1.05 billion or 6.78X revenue of $154.97 million. One Stop Systems (OSS) estimates 4Q 2024 revenue of $15 million and projects consistent sustainable revenue [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8542,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[111,7,8],"class_list":["post-8540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-bbai","tag-oss","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8540"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8543,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8540\/revisions\/8543"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.inflation.us\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}