Did Commerce Secretary Lutnick Short Bitcoin Before Tariff Announcements?

Timeline & Key Events

  • Oct 9, 2025 — 16:39 GMT:
    A trader deposits $80 million and begins shorting Bitcoin — betting the price will fall.

  • A few hours later (03:49 GMT):
    Another $30 million goes into Ethereum shorts.

  • 14:57 GMT:
    Trump posts on Truth Social about new Chinese tariffs tied to rare earth disputes. The market dips slightly, but the trader keeps adding shorts instead of taking profit.

  • 20:49 GMT:
    The final short is placed.

  • 20:50 GMT — One minute later:
    Trump announces a 100% tariff on China, triggering a market crash.

  • 21:20 GMT (≈30 minutes later):
    The same account closes all short positions — realizing roughly $190 million in profit.

Who would do this? Our guess is Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.